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Keeneland Race du Jour – Day 2 (Saturday, October 4, 2008)
The first Saturday program of the Keeneland fall meet is loaded with stakes races as Races 5-9 are all added money events. The only non-graded stakes race is the 6th, the $150,000 Woodford at 5˝ furlongs on the turf course. The field is huge and the wagering should be somewhat spread, so it will be our Day 2 Race du Jour.
One horse looks to receive the most support of any runner in here and that’s #8 SMART ENOUGH, who has eight wins sprinting on the turf and has twice Beyered 107 or more in his career on the weeds. He was pounded down to even money in the Shakertown (G3) here in mid-April and has been laid off since. He worked a solid five-eighths two weeks ago and his trainer has a winner off this type of layoff from a limited sample. While you must recognize that this guy is the most talented in here and is the likeliest winner, you have to avoid taking a small price on a horse that is returning from a long layoff who has twice failed on this turf course.
A few others worth looking at include:
#2 FORT PRADO won this race last year with a sharp off the pace move under Rene Douglas. He is winless since then including 7 tries sprinting on the grass. He rallied well in the Kentucky Cup Turf Dash last time out and narrowly missed, so he’s in very good form right now. There has to be some level of concern about his sudden inability to win, especially given that he’ll be heavily backed at the windows.
#3 CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE is an interesting animal in here on a number of fronts. He is among the few that have consistently shown early speed, he’s going 2nd off a layoff, and will be re-united with the jockey who rode him to victory at Churchill in June. He might get the jump on the late runners and that is quite dangerous, in addition to Jamie Theriot being very astute on this turf course.
#4 ATTICUS KRISTY has been competing nicely at this level for quite some time and will try to improve on a fourth-place finish at Kentucky Downs. He is a winner over this turf course going this distance and will be among the late runners making their presences felt late in the game.
#6 DISTINGUISH enjoyed an absolutely perfect trip in winning the Brother Brown last time out at Remington and you can certainly argue that anyone who opts for ‘Chamberlain over him is foolish. He has outfinished that rival twice in a row now and his running style may suit this race a bit better. He’s tough to look past at 10-1 or more.
DAY 2 RACE DU JOUR PLAY:
$25 Win/Place on #3 CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE
TOTAL: $50
Meet Totals: $-50
Good luck!
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The first Saturday program of the Keeneland fall meet is loaded with stakes races as Races 5-9 are all added money events. The only non-graded stakes race is the 6th, the $150,000 Woodford at 5˝ furlongs on the turf course. The field is huge and the wagering should be somewhat spread, so it will be our Day 2 Race du Jour.
One horse looks to receive the most support of any runner in here and that’s #8 SMART ENOUGH, who has eight wins sprinting on the turf and has twice Beyered 107 or more in his career on the weeds. He was pounded down to even money in the Shakertown (G3) here in mid-April and has been laid off since. He worked a solid five-eighths two weeks ago and his trainer has a winner off this type of layoff from a limited sample. While you must recognize that this guy is the most talented in here and is the likeliest winner, you have to avoid taking a small price on a horse that is returning from a long layoff who has twice failed on this turf course.
A few others worth looking at include:
#2 FORT PRADO won this race last year with a sharp off the pace move under Rene Douglas. He is winless since then including 7 tries sprinting on the grass. He rallied well in the Kentucky Cup Turf Dash last time out and narrowly missed, so he’s in very good form right now. There has to be some level of concern about his sudden inability to win, especially given that he’ll be heavily backed at the windows.
#3 CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE is an interesting animal in here on a number of fronts. He is among the few that have consistently shown early speed, he’s going 2nd off a layoff, and will be re-united with the jockey who rode him to victory at Churchill in June. He might get the jump on the late runners and that is quite dangerous, in addition to Jamie Theriot being very astute on this turf course.
#4 ATTICUS KRISTY has been competing nicely at this level for quite some time and will try to improve on a fourth-place finish at Kentucky Downs. He is a winner over this turf course going this distance and will be among the late runners making their presences felt late in the game.
#6 DISTINGUISH enjoyed an absolutely perfect trip in winning the Brother Brown last time out at Remington and you can certainly argue that anyone who opts for ‘Chamberlain over him is foolish. He has outfinished that rival twice in a row now and his running style may suit this race a bit better. He’s tough to look past at 10-1 or more.
DAY 2 RACE DU JOUR PLAY:
$25 Win/Place on #3 CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE
TOTAL: $50
Meet Totals: $-50
Good luck!
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Comments
YOU ARE THE MAN!!!!!!!
Gotta love a capper not afraid to give you a price. Amen my friend.
I believe that win is worth $667.50.